East Matagorda tide station · Enclosed bay behind the peninsula with no direct Gulf pass - the smallest tide range on this list by a wide margin, so wind tide moves more water here than the astronomical tide does.
The bottom line
Saturday, September 5 is the day. High at 7:23 AM rolls straight into a twelve-hour fall with the moon overhead major running 7:22 to 9:22 AM - fish 6:30 to 10:00 AM and you have got everything lining up at once. Friday and Sunday are nearly as good, so if the weekend is spoken for, Friday dawn is your consolation and it is a good one.
Hourly tide and fishing score for Friday, September 4
Hour
Tide (ft)
Score
Fishable
12 AM
0.67
51
No
1 AM
0.7
53
No
2 AM
0.74
54
No
3 AM
0.77
53
No
4 AM
0.8
48
No
5 AM
0.83
40
No
6 AM
0.84
66
Yes
7 AM
0.84
71
Yes
8 AM
0.82
76
Yes
9 AM
0.8
68
No
10 AM
0.76
76
No
11 AM
0.71
78
No
12 PM
0.65
78
No
1 PM
0.59
76
No
2 PM
0.53
73
No
3 PM
0.48
70
No
4 PM
0.44
69
No
5 PM
0.4
60
No
6 PM
0.37
67
Yes
7 PM
0.38
83
Yes
8 PM
0.42
95
Yes
9 PM
0.48
71
No
10 PM
0.54
65
No
11 PM
0.6
65
No
Clear Greenclear green through the throat, sandy green on the bay side
Lure or bait
Lure90
Bait82
Nothing separates them today (lure 90, bait 82) - fish whichever you enjoy more.
Cork or free-line, no problem
Clarity94
Tide83
Wind100
Solunar78
Tide
High 6:23 AM (0.84) -> Low 6:20 PM (0.37)
Range
0.47 ft · soft · peak 0.04 ft/hr
Wind
S ~4 kt -> **SE 9 kt** late48-hr mean SSE 3.6 kt · veering to SE
Pressure
29.99 inHg, falling
Sky
Partly Cloudy · 90°F
Moon
Waning Crescent 46%
Sun
7:03 AM → 7:41 PM
Solunar & tide windows
6:19 AM - 8:19 AMMajor - moon overhead
L95 · B92
6:23 AM - 8:53 AMFirst of the outgoing off the 6:23 AM high
L100 · B92
6:20 PM - 8:50 PMFirst of the incoming off the 6:20 PM low
L90 · B82
6:44 PM - 8:44 PMMajor - moon underfoot
L95 · B92
Why this rating
Everything stacks. Wind stays S/SE at 4-9 kt after four solid days of southerly flow, so the water should be the cleanest it has been. The 0.84 ft high at 6:23 AM falls without interruption to a 6:20 PM low - a twelve-hour drain, the strongest of the week so far. The moon-overhead major runs 6:19 to 8:19 AM, straight through the 7:03 sunrise with water already sliding. Lure control is perfect at these speeds; call it EITHER only because 90 degree water still favors croaker by mid-morning.
Speckled trout tactic
Topwater first and do not rush it - Super Spook Jr in bone or a She Dog in chrome/black walked over the bars from dark until well after sunrise, right through the major. When it slows, go translucent: Lil John in Opening Night or morning glory on a 1/8 oz head, cast up-current and swung along the drop. Clean water means natural and subtle beats loud all day. Bump to 1/4 oz once the current really starts pulling mid-morning.
Live bait tactic
Free-lined live shrimp drifted with the outgoing tide along the bar edge is deadly early. Once the sun gets on it, live croaker on a 1/4 oz slip sinker fished on the deeper side of the drop is the mid-morning fish-catcher in this heat.
Water clarity read
Five days of S and SE at under 10 kt with no blowout wind anywhere in the history means Gulf water has had time to work well up into the system. Bay side is a step behind but even that should be a fishable sandy green.
Reds & flounder
Redfish will be on the shallow sand at the top of the tide before daylight and worth a dedicated hour. Flounder stack at every drain and cut on a fall this long - a 1/4 oz jig with a natural plastic works them.
Hourly tide and fishing score for Saturday, September 5
Hour
Tide (ft)
Score
Fishable
12 AM
0.64
55
No
1 AM
0.68
56
No
2 AM
0.71
59
No
3 AM
0.76
60
No
4 AM
0.8
54
No
5 AM
0.84
47
No
6 AM
0.86
56
No
7 AM
0.87
66
Yes
8 AM
0.87
69
Yes
9 AM
0.86
72
Yes
10 AM
0.84
67
No
11 AM
0.8
73
No
12 PM
0.75
77
No
1 PM
0.7
78
No
2 PM
0.64
76
No
3 PM
0.58
76
No
4 PM
0.52
79
No
5 PM
0.47
77
No
6 PM
0.42
70
No
7 PM
0.38
65
Yes
8 PM
0.38
82
Yes
9 PM
0.41
79
Yes
10 PM
0.47
82
Yes
11 PM
0.54
71
No
Clear Greenclear green in the throat, sandy green behind the bar
Lure or bait
Lure91
Bait83
Nothing separates them today (lure 91, bait 83) - fish whichever you enjoy more.
Cork or free-line, no problem
Clarity95
Tide85
Wind100
Solunar78
Tide
High 7:23 AM (0.87) -> Low 7:34 PM (0.38)
Range
0.49 ft · soft · peak 0.04 ft/hr
Wind
SE 4-9 kt48-hr mean SSE 3.6 kt · veering to SE
Pressure
29.99 inHg, falling
Sky
Mostly Clear · 90°F · 26% rain
Moon
Waning Crescent 34%
Sun
7:04 AM → 7:40 PM
Solunar & tide windows
7:22 AM - 9:22 AMMajor - moon overhead
L95 · B92
7:23 AM - 9:53 AMFirst of the outgoing off the 7:23 AM high
L100 · B92
7:34 PM - 10:04 PMFirst of the incoming off the 7:34 PM low
L90 · B82
7:47 PM - 9:47 PMMajor - moon underfoot
L95 · B92
Why this rating
This is the best day on the board. SE at 4-9 kt after nearly a week of onshore flow, and the strongest tide yet - 0.87 ft high at 7:23 AM draining twelve solid hours to a 7:34 PM low. The moon-overhead major runs 7:22 to 9:22 AM, which puts peak solunar directly on top of the turn and the first hours of the fall, in low light. Wind is nowhere near enough to hurt lure control, and the water should be clean enough that a topwater gets crushed.
Speckled trout tactic
Fish topwater hard and fish it long - Super Spook Jr in bone at first light, then a She Dog in chrome/black through the 7:22 AM major as the tide turns over. Do not put it down early, this is the day it holds up. When it finally dies, MirrOdine XL in a natural mullet, then a Down South Super Model in Chicken on a Chain on a 1/8 oz head worked slow along the first drop.
Live bait tactic
Live shrimp free-lined into the moving water along the bar edge through the major, no cork - let it tumble naturally with the current. Switch to live croaker on a light slip sinker in the deeper water by 10 AM when the 90 degree heat drives them down.
Water clarity read
Six straight days of SE and S under 10 kt with a peak 48-hour mean of only 6.8 kt has left nothing to stir this up. This is as clean as it gets without a front pushing it around.
Reds & flounder
Redfish are the sure thing on the shallow sand right at the top of the tide. Flounder are worth a serious look at every cut on the long afternoon fall.
Strongest tide of the whole stretch - 0.89 ft high at 8:55 AM into an 8:41 PM low, and the moon-overhead major straddles it from 8:25 to 10:25 AM. Wind turns E at 4-9 kt, still onshore and still far too light to dirty anything after a week of clean push. Only reason this sits a hair behind Saturday is that the tide turn is later, so the best water movement comes after the sun is already up and the low-light edge is gone.
Speckled trout tactic
You get a full dark-to-daylight topwater run before the tide even turns - Super Spook Jr in bone from 7:00 on, over the shallow bars. When the water starts moving at 9:00, that is when to switch: Lil John in Opening Night or a Down South Super Model in morning glory on a 1/8 oz head, cast up-current and swung. Clear water, so keep everything natural and translucent. Do not throw anything loud.
Live bait tactic
Live shrimp under a popping cork over the sand-and-grass edges works right through the morning here. Once the tide really starts pulling and the sun is high, live croaker on a 1/4 oz weight down the deep side of the drop is the better bet in this heat.
Water clarity read
Light east wind at 4 kt keeps onshore flow going without adding any chop. Gulf side is genuinely clean; back in the bay it is a shade sandier but still very fishable.
Reds & flounder
Redfish will be up shallow on the biggest high of the week - sight-cast them on the sand. Flounder move to the cuts as the water starts leaving mid-morning.
Still a good day, just a step down. Wind starts WSW at 4-5 kt early - offshore direction but far too weak to hurt anything - then swings S and builds to 13 kt by afternoon. High at 10:41 AM is late, so the morning is spent on slow rising water instead of a good fall, and the major does not fire until 9:24 AM. Lures are fine at these speeds, but you are working around a tide that does not really cooperate until midday.
Speckled trout tactic
Skip the dawn scramble and time it to the water. Work a Bass Assassin Sea Shad in plum/chartreuse on a 1/8 oz head along the drop through the 9:24 AM major, then bump to 1/4 oz as the tide firms up toward the 10:41 high. If you want a topwater shot, a Super Spook Jr in bone right at first light on the shallow sand is worth thirty minutes before the sun burns it off.
Live bait tactic
Live croaker on a fish-finder rig fished the deeper edge is the call - 90-plus degree water and a late tide means the fish are down and sulky. Live shrimp under a cork will work the shallower grass edges once the water starts pushing in mid-morning.
Water clarity read
The overnight WSW breeze at under 5 kt is not enough to blow this out, but it will take a touch of the edge off the clean water, especially on the bay side. Once the south wind fills back in by midday the Gulf side firms right back up.
Reds & flounder
Redfish come with the incoming water onto the shallow sand late morning. Flounder are a poor bet on a rising tide - wait for the evening fall if you can stay.
The 48-hour setup
Last 48 hours have been just about the best water-builder we get: buoy 42035 averaged SSE at 155 degrees, 6.8 kt scalar, and the last 24 hours tightened to SE at 134 degrees near 7.2 kt. That is the onshore push that stacks clean Gulf water into the throat instead of stirring the bay mud. Latest reading swung ENE 70 degrees at 7.8 kt gusting 11.7 with pressure sitting fat and steady at 1015.6 hPa, and coastal station EMAT2 has SE 8.9 kt with water at 91.2 F. Nothing in that history is strong enough or wrong enough to dirty the water. It is clean, and it is hot.
Wind stays southerly and light all week, tide range creeps up every single day, and the morning high walks later and later so the falling water lands squarely in the low-light hours by the weekend. Friday through Sunday is the standout - Saturday best of all, with a 0.87 ft high at 7:23 AM dumping out for twelve straight hours and a solunar major sitting right on top of sunrise. Clear the weekend and be standing in water before daylight.
Buoy 42035: 48-hour vector-mean wind SSE (155 deg) at 3.6 kt; 24-hour mean SE at 3 kt. Peak gust in the last 48 hours: 23.3 kt.
EMAT2 latest: SE at 8.9 kt, gusting 11.1 kt. Pressure 1014.7 hPa. Water temp 91.2 F.
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The NWS hourly forecast reaches about 6.5 days, which stops short of the end of this window. Wind, temperature and sky for Monday come from Open-Meteo alone, with no second model to check them against. Treat the last of the week as a trend, not a plan.
Wind is cross-checked against two independent models: the NWS gridpoint forecast for this spot, and Open-Meteo running gfs_seamless at 28.711508, -95.92855. Across the overlapping mornings the two agree to within 2.6 kt on average (worst 4 kt). Where they diverge, treat that day's wind as less certain.
Water clarity is inferred from measured 48-hour buoy wind history and forecast wind vectors. It is not visually confirmed - local webcams are video streams and cannot be read automatically. Check a cam before you load the truck.