BiteWindow

MON AUG 31 2026 · 3:38 PM CT

Christmas Bay, TX

29.0417° N, 95.1750° W 89.6°F water Model-written

Christmas Bay tide station · Shallow seagrass back bay behind Follets Island, reached from West Bay. Two to three feet over most of it, so wind speed muddies it far faster than wind direction cleans it.

The bottom line

Friday, September 4 is the day. High at 6:56 AM with the major running 6:16 - 8:16 AM right through sunrise at 7:00, then a full-day fall to -0.02 ft at 7:21 PM - that is as good a setup as this bay gives you. Saturday is a near copy with the high pushed to 9:12 AM if you cannot get out Friday.

Best day FRIDAY September 4 PERFECT DAY 95 6:15 - 9:30 AM

The week

-0.02 ft – 1.06 ft · 4 days

Day by day

FRIDAY

September 4 · Day 1 of 4

PERFECT DAY 95/100

Best window 6:15 - 9:30 AM

Tide & fishable hours 1.04 ft · moderate · peak 0.2 ft/hr
Hourly tide for Friday, September 4 High 6:56 AM - 1.02 ft | Low 5:06 AM - 0.4 ft | High 8:15 AM - 1.02 ft | Low 7:21 PM - -0.02 ft. 8 of 24 hours score as fishable. Best window 6:15 - 9:30 AM. H 1.02 6:56 AM L 0.4 5:06 AM H 1.02 8:15 AM L -0.02 7:21 PM 6 AM NOON 6 PM

Fishable hour Slack or blown out Wind, kt

Hourly tide and fishing score for Friday, September 4
HourTide (ft)ScoreFishable
12 AM 0.22 42 No
1 AM 0.28 41 No
2 AM 0.33 40 No
3 AM 0.37 38 No
4 AM 0.4 37 No
5 AM 0.4 69 No
6 AM 0.7 100 Yes
7 AM 1.02 65 Yes
8 AM 1.02 66 Yes
9 AM 1.01 67 Yes
10 AM 0.96 71 Yes
11 AM 0.87 59 No
12 PM 0.76 61 No
1 PM 0.62 62 No
2 PM 0.47 62 No
3 PM 0.33 60 No
4 PM 0.2 60 No
5 PM 0.09 57 No
6 PM 0.02 68 Yes
7 PM -0.02 64 Yes
8 PM -0.01 67 Yes
9 PM 0.02 42 No
10 PM 0.08 44 No
11 PM 0.16 44 No
Clear Green clear green front to back, trout-green over the shell

Lure or bait

Lure 97

Bait 93

Nothing separates them today (lure 97, bait 93) - fish whichever you enjoy more.

Cork or free-line, no problem

  • Clarity 93
  • Tide 100
  • Wind 100
  • Solunar 94
Tide
High 6:56 AM (1.02) -> Low 5:06 AM (0.4) -> High 8:15 AM (1.02) -> Low 7:21 PM (-0.02)
Range
1.04 ft · moderate · peak 0.2 ft/hr
Wind
S ~4 kt -> **SE 9 kt** late48-hr mean SSE 3.6 kt · veering to SE
Pressure
29.99 inHg, falling
Sky
Partly Cloudy · 88°F · 22% rain
Moon
Waning Crescent 46%
Sun
7:00 AM → 7:39 PM

Solunar & tide windows

  • 6:16 AM - 8:16 AM Major - moon overhead, on max tidal flow L117 · B100
  • 6:56 AM - 9:26 AM First of the outgoing off the 6:56 AM high L100 · B92
  • 8:15 AM - 10:45 AM First of the outgoing off the 8:15 AM high L100 · B92
  • 6:41 PM - 8:41 PM Major - moon underfoot L95 · B92
Why this rating

This is the best day of the stretch and it is not close - 93 clarity off two full days of S/SE rebuild, wind a flat 4-9 kt out of the S, tide a perfect 100, solunar 94. High at 6:56 AM and again 8:15 AM at 1.02 ft with the major running 6:16 - 8:16 AM through a 7:00 AM sunrise, then a long uninterrupted fall all day to -0.02 ft at 7:21 PM. Lure score of 97 says it plainly: this is a lure day, work it as one.

Speckled trout tactic

Topwater from before daylight - bone Super Spook Jr or a MirrOlure She Dog worked slow over shell in 2-4 ft, and do not rush the retrieve in clear water. Clean water means natural and translucent: Down South Super Model in Texas Roach or a Bass Assassin Sea Shad in a clear/glitter pattern on a 1/8 oz head. Fluorocarbon leader matters today - they will look at it.

Live bait tactic

Free-lined live shrimp on the shell during the 6:16 - 8:16 AM major, no weight, let the outgoing carry it. By mid-morning with water above 85F, live croaker on a light jighead worked on the deep side of the drop is what gets the heavy fish.

Water clarity read

Two straight days of S and SE at under 10 kt has pushed clean water through and let everything settle. Expect to see the bottom in 3 ft over sand and real trout-green color over the deeper shell.

Reds & flounder

Redfish will be sighted in the clear shallow grass early - throw a weedless gold spoon or a Down South rigged weightless. The all-day fall to -0.02 ft concentrates flounder tight in the drains through the afternoon.

SATURDAY

September 5 · Day 2 of 4

PERFECT DAY 95/100

Best window 7:15 - 10:30 AM

Tide & fishable hours 1.08 ft · strong · peak 0.1 ft/hr
Hourly tide for Saturday, September 5 High 9:12 AM - 1.06 ft | Low 8:30 PM - -0.02 ft. 10 of 24 hours score as fishable. Best window 7:15 - 10:30 AM. H 1.06 9:12 AM L -0.02 8:30 PM 6 AM NOON 6 PM

Fishable hour Slack or blown out Wind, kt

Hourly tide and fishing score for Saturday, September 5
HourTide (ft)ScoreFishable
12 AM 0.26 62 No
1 AM 0.37 64 No
2 AM 0.49 64 No
3 AM 0.61 63 No
4 AM 0.73 61 No
5 AM 0.84 57 No
6 AM 0.93 68 No
7 AM 1 76 Yes
8 AM 1.04 69 Yes
9 AM 1.06 64 Yes
10 AM 1.05 70 Yes
11 AM 1 76 Yes
12 PM 0.9 74 No
1 PM 0.79 79 No
2 PM 0.65 81 No
3 PM 0.5 81 No
4 PM 0.35 80 No
5 PM 0.21 75 No
6 PM 0.1 70 No
7 PM 0.02 74 Yes
8 PM -0.02 64 Yes
9 PM -0.02 55 Yes
10 PM 0.01 44 Yes
11 PM 0.07 44 Yes
Clear Green clear green everywhere, gin-clear on the sand

Lure or bait

Lure 97

Bait 91

Nothing separates them today (lure 97, bait 91) - fish whichever you enjoy more.

Cork or free-line, no problem

  • Clarity 95
  • Tide 97
  • Wind 100
  • Solunar 94
Tide
High 9:12 AM (1.06) -> Low 8:30 PM (-0.02)
Range
1.08 ft · strong · peak 0.1 ft/hr
Wind
SE 4-9 kt48-hr mean SSE 3.6 kt · veering to SE
Pressure
29.99 inHg, falling
Sky
Mostly Clear · 88°F · 29% rain
Moon
Waning Crescent 34%
Sun
7:01 AM → 7:38 PM

Solunar & tide windows

  • 7:19 AM - 9:19 AM Major - moon overhead, on max tidal flow L117 · B100
  • 9:12 AM - 11:42 AM First of the outgoing off the 9:12 AM high L82 · B82
  • 7:44 PM - 9:44 PM Major - moon underfoot L95 · B92
  • 8:30 PM - 11:00 PM First of the incoming off the 8:30 PM low L8 · B63
Why this rating

Clarity peaks at 95 after three days of S and SE rebuild, and wind is a dead-flat 4 kt out of the SE through the whole morning - the cleanest, calmest conditions of the week. The tide is a single strong swing, high 9:12 AM at 1.06 ft into a long uninterrupted fall to -0.02 ft at 8:30 PM, with the major running 7:19 - 9:19 AM right on top of it. Lures rule the day at a 97; the only knock is that the high sits later so first light is slower water.

Speckled trout tactic

Slick calm and clear means a long cast and a quiet approach. Bone Super Spook Jr walked slow at first light, then a Down South Super Model in Texas Roach or morning glory on a 1/8 oz head as the tide starts to pull after the 9:12 AM high. Keep colors natural and translucent, and go to a 1/16 oz head over shallow grass so you are not spooking them with the splash.

Live bait tactic

Free-lined live shrimp through the 7:19 - 9:19 AM major over the shell, then move to live croaker on a light jighead worked deep once the water gets past 85F and the sun is up. Croaker over the drop-offs is the big-trout play on a hot clear day.

Water clarity read

Three days of SE at 4-9 kt has settled everything out. This is the cleanest water of the forecast - sand flats will be near gin-clear and even the back reaches carry good color.

Reds & flounder

Sight-casting weather for redfish - clear water and no wind means you will see them before they see you. Flounder pile into the drains on the long afternoon fall toward 8:30 PM.

SUNDAY

September 6 · Day 3 of 4

PERFECT DAY 88/100

Best window 8:00 - 11:00 AM

Tide & fishable hours 1.08 ft · strong · peak 0.09 ft/hr
Hourly tide for Sunday, September 6 High 9:50 AM - 1.06 ft | Low 9:41 PM - -0.02 ft. 10 of 24 hours score as fishable. Best window 8:00 - 11:00 AM. H 1.06 9:50 AM L -0.02 9:41 PM 6 AM NOON 6 PM

Fishable hour Slack or blown out Wind, kt

Hourly tide and fishing score for Sunday, September 6
HourTide (ft)ScoreFishable
12 AM 0.15 61 No
1 AM 0.25 64 No
2 AM 0.37 66 No
3 AM 0.5 67 No
4 AM 0.62 65 No
5 AM 0.75 62 No
6 AM 0.86 74 No
7 AM 0.94 68 No
8 AM 1.01 74 Yes
9 AM 1.05 63 Yes
10 AM 1.06 67 Yes
11 AM 1.04 70 Yes
12 PM 0.98 78 Yes
1 PM 0.88 75 No
2 PM 0.76 79 No
3 PM 0.63 81 No
4 PM 0.48 88 Yes
5 PM 0.34 85 Yes
6 PM 0.22 78 No
7 PM 0.11 71 No
8 PM 0.03 59 Yes
9 PM -0.02 34 Yes
10 PM -0.02 40 Yes
11 PM 0.01 43 No
Clear Green clear green holding, slight touch of stain in the far back

Lure or bait

Lure 90

Bait 85

Nothing separates them today (lure 90, bait 85) - fish whichever you enjoy more.

Cork or free-line, no problem

  • Clarity 85
  • Tide 96
  • Wind 100
  • Solunar 73
Tide
High 9:50 AM (1.06) -> Low 9:41 PM (-0.02)
Range
1.08 ft · strong · peak 0.09 ft/hr
Wind
N 4-9 kt48-hr mean SSE 3.6 kt · veering to SE
Pressure
29.99 inHg, falling
Sky
Mostly Clear · 88°F · 25% rain
Moon
Waning Crescent 24%
Sun
7:01 AM → 7:36 PM

Solunar & tide windows

  • 8:21 AM - 10:21 AM Major - moon overhead L95 · B92
  • 9:50 AM - 12:20 PM First of the outgoing off the 9:50 AM high L82 · B82
  • 4:10 PM - 5:10 PM Minor - moonset L60 · B58
  • 8:46 PM - 10:46 PM Major - moon underfoot L18 · B68
Why this rating

Wind is nothing - 4 kt swinging W to N to E through the morning, not enough to move water in any direction, so Saturday's clarity carries straight through. Tide is a strong single swing, high 9:50 AM at 1.06 ft then a long fall to -0.02 ft at 9:41 PM, and the major runs 8:21 - 10:21 AM right over the top of it. Solunar is the weakest piece at 73 because nothing lines up with first light. Lures at 90 to bait's 85 - work it as a lure day and be patient.

Speckled trout tactic

Slow start with the tide not moving hard until after 9 AM. Throw a bone Super Spook Jr at daylight anyway, then work a Lil John in morning glory or a Down South Super Model in Texas Roach on a 1/8 oz head over the shell as the water begins to pull. Once the sun is high and the water is over 87F, drop to a 3/8 oz head and fish the deeper drops slow.

Live bait tactic

Live shrimp under a cork over the shell while the tide is building to the 9:50 AM high. Switch to live croaker on a 1/4 oz jighead on the deeper drop-offs from mid-morning on - the water is going to hit 88F and the good trout will be down and sulky.

Water clarity read

The brief N and NE swing is too light at 4 kt to hurt anything - the water Saturday built stays put. Only the far back reaches show any stain and even that is minor.

Reds & flounder

Redfish will be up on the flooding shallows before 10 AM - a weedless gold spoon on the grass edges. The long evening fall past 6 PM is the flounder window at the drains.

MONDAY

September 7 · Day 4 of 4

PERFECT DAY 86/100

Best window 8:30 - 11:30 AM

Tide & fishable hours 1.04 ft · moderate · peak 0.08 ft/hr
Hourly tide for Monday, September 7 High 9:15 AM - 1.03 ft | Low 10:45 PM - -0.01 ft. 8 of 24 hours score as fishable. Best window 8:30 - 11:30 AM. H 1.03 9:15 AM L -0.01 10:45 PM 6 AM NOON 6 PM

Fishable hour Slack or blown out Wind, kt

Hourly tide and fishing score for Monday, September 7
HourTide (ft)ScoreFishable
12 AM 0.08 60 No
1 AM 0.18 65 No
2 AM 0.3 69 No
3 AM 0.44 71 No
4 AM 0.58 69 No
5 AM 0.72 65 No
6 AM 0.84 76 No
7 AM 0.93 68 No
8 AM 1 59 No
9 AM 1.03 60 Yes
10 AM 1.02 66 Yes
11 AM 0.99 70 Yes
12 PM 0.93 66 No
1 PM 0.84 71 No
2 PM 0.74 74 No
3 PM 0.63 75 No
4 PM 0.51 83 Yes
5 PM 0.39 81 Yes
6 PM 0.28 77 No
7 PM 0.18 72 No
8 PM 0.09 67 No
9 PM 0.03 41 Yes
10 PM 0 34 Yes
11 PM -0.01 34 Yes
Sandy Green sandy green, slightly off in the back where the west wind touches

Lure or bait

Lure 88

Bait 82

Nothing separates them today (lure 88, bait 82) - fish whichever you enjoy more.

Cork or free-line, no problem

  • Clarity 84
  • Tide 93
  • Wind 100
  • Solunar 63
Tide
High 9:15 AM (1.03) -> Low 10:45 PM (-0.01)
Range
1.04 ft · moderate · peak 0.08 ft/hr
Wind
S ~4 kt -> **SSW 9 kt** late48-hr mean SSE 3.6 kt · veering to SE
Pressure
29.99 inHg, falling
Sky
Partly Cloudy · 95°F
Moon
Waning Crescent 15%
Sun
7:02 AM → 7:35 PM

Solunar & tide windows

  • 9:15 AM - 11:45 AM First of the outgoing off the 9:15 AM high L82 · B82
  • 9:21 AM - 11:21 AM Major - moon overhead L80 · B80
  • 4:58 PM - 5:58 PM Minor - moonset L60 · B58
  • 9:46 PM - 11:46 PM Major - moon underfoot L18 · B68
Why this rating

Light W and WNW at 3-5 kt in the morning is technically the wrong direction, but at that speed it does nothing to this system - clarity holds at 84. The high at 9:15 AM at 1.03 ft rolls into a long all-day fall to -0.01 ft at 10:45 PM, which is a tide score of 93. Solunar is the weak link at 63 with the major sitting 9:21 - 11:21 AM well after sunrise. Lures at 88 over bait at 82, but note the afternoon forecast hits 95F air - get it done in the morning.

Speckled trout tactic

Topwater at first light before the heat builds - bone Super Spook Jr over shell in 2-4 ft. Then work the major with a Down South Super Model in Chicken on a Chain or a Bass Assassin Sea Shad on a 1/8 oz head along the deeper edges as the tide starts its long fall. By noon with air at 94F, go to a 3/8 oz head and fish the deepest shell you can find.

Live bait tactic

Live shrimp under a cork on the shell early while the tide is still building. Once the sun and heat set in, live croaker fished deep on a 1/4 oz jighead along the drop-offs is the only thing that will pull a good trout - water this hot pushes them down hard by mid-morning.

Water clarity read

The light W and WNW is only 3-5 kt so it barely registers, but it does put a slight edge off the back reaches. The main body and deeper shell hold sandy green color from the weekend.

Reds & flounder

Redfish on the flood before 9:15 AM in the shallow grass, then follow them out as the water drops all afternoon. Flounder set up in the drains through the long evening fall.

The 48-hour setup

Last 48 hours have been light and southerly - buoy 42035 is averaging SSE at 155 degrees, 6.8 kt scalar, with the last 24 tightening to SE at 134 degrees and gusts topping out at 23.3 kt. That is the direction that builds green water, and the light speed means it stacked clean Gulf water in without stirring the bottom. Pressure is sitting flat at 1015.6 hPa and the coastal station at Luce Bayou reads 89.6F surface water - hot, salty, and clear. Right now the boat cuts and the deeper shell in Christmas Bay have the best color of the summer.

The one wrinkle is Tuesday - NW around 20 kt behind the front line, which will scuff the west shoreline and drop clarity for a day. It rebounds fast because Tuesday night swings back S and stays S/SE the rest of the week, and the tides build to a strong single-swing pattern with a long uninterrupted fall Thursday through Sunday. Friday and Saturday are the standouts - clear the mornings, be on the water before 7 AM.

  • Buoy 42035: 48-hour vector-mean wind SSE (155 deg) at 3.6 kt; 24-hour mean SE at 3 kt. Peak gust in the last 48 hours: 23.3 kt.
  • LUIT2 latest: E at 8 kt, gusting 11.1 kt. Pressure 1015.1 hPa. Water temp 89.6 F.

Have this in your inbox at 7 PM

Pick your spots and your days — Friday, Saturday, Sunday, or all three. One mail, no app.

Subscribe

Caught something? Add it to the catch log and it feeds back into the calibration.

What this forecast cannot tell you (3)
  • The NWS hourly forecast reaches about 6.5 days, which stops short of the end of this window. Wind, temperature and sky for Monday come from Open-Meteo alone, with no second model to check them against. Treat the last of the week as a trend, not a plan.
  • Wind is cross-checked against two independent models: the NWS gridpoint forecast for this spot, and Open-Meteo running gfs_seamless at 29.069916, -95.15971. Across the overlapping mornings the two agree to within 1.8 kt on average (worst 3.6 kt). Where they diverge, treat that day's wind as less certain.
  • Water clarity is inferred from measured 48-hour buoy wind history and forecast wind vectors. It is not visually confirmed - local webcams are video streams and cannot be read automatically. Check a cam before you load the truck.
Data sources (7)

Issued Monday, August 31, 2026 at 3:38 PM CT